【环境讲坛47期】Probabilistic Infrastructure Assessment for Changing Climate
来源： 发布时间：2017-04-13 点击次数：
报告题目：Probabilistic Infrastructure Assessment for Changing Climate
报告人：Dr Tatyana Micic City, University of London
报告内容：When we consider infrastructure such as bridges, masts, dams etc. design process has a strong bearing on the perception of performance of such vital elements of our surroundings. However, in reality, all infrastructure is unique, be it in its setting, working conditions, extent of use, natural processes of ageing, performance requirements and exposure to changing climate conditions. Furthermore, once the infrastructure has been in use for some time it is often the case that assessment is required and due to the uniqueness of infrastructure the assessment has to take into account many uncertainties. For assessment, we have access to continuously expanding information about the environment that has to be included as well as evolving performance targets. Thus, in order to support and enhance the decision-making about infrastructure, especially in relation to future climate effects engineering risk has emerged as an appropriate measure.
This seminar will:
§ Present the application of the advanced probabilistic approach to assess the performance of infrastructure, when exposed to future climate scenarios.
§ Demonstrate the adaptive risk classification for infrastructure, thus, enabling site-specific categorisation
§ Explore further challenges in definition of acceptable engineering risk to ensure that infrastructure performs according to expectation, and feasibility of improved regulatory documentation.
报告人简介：Dr Tatyana Micic is an academic from the School of Mathematics, Computer Science and Engineering at City, University of London. She is Programme Director of the MSc Civil Engineering Structures. Her research is focused on application of probabilistic modelling for infrastructure assessment, continuous stochastic process models for infrastructure aging and understanding and communication of engineering risk. Graduate of University of Belgrade, she completed her PhD at Imperial College London on structural assessment for highway bridges, receiving the Unwin prize. Her work on highway bridge assessment formed the basis for regulatory document BD21/01 at the Highways Agency, UK